The model estimates 0.92 goals for Kagera Sugar and 1.01 for TRA United. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Kagera Sugar and 6 for TRA United, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: TRA United · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Kagera Sugar is going head to head with TRA United on November 22, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Ligi Kuu Bara — Round 12.
Kagera Sugar take on TRA United in the Ligi Kuu Bara on 22 November 2026 at 18:00.
Kagera Sugar are currently placed 15th in the table with 6 points, while TRA United occupy 13th position with 8 points.
Kagera Sugar come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas TRA United have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, TRA United have 2 wins against Kagera Sugar, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Kagera Sugar and TRA United to draw with probability 32%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.93. Over 2.5: 30%. BTTS: 40%.
KAGTRAKAGTRAKAGTRAKAGTRAKAGTRAKAGTRAKAGTRAKAGTRAKAGTRAKagera Sugar have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Kagera Sugar's last 6 matches.
TRA United have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of TRA United's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, TRA United have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
