The model estimates 1.17 goals for Kagera Sugar and 1.18 for Coastal Union. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Kagera Sugar and 6 for Coastal Union, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Kagera Sugar · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Kagera Sugar is going head to head with Coastal Union on April 18, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligi Kuu Bara — Round 27.
Kagera Sugar take on Coastal Union in the Ligi Kuu Bara on 18 April 2027 at 00:00.
Kagera Sugar are currently placed 15th in the table with 6 points, while Coastal Union occupy 8th position with 13 points.
Kagera Sugar come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Coastal Union have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Coastal Union have 1 win against Kagera Sugar.
Prediction: Kagera Sugar to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.35. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 50%.




Kagera Sugar have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Kagera Sugar's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Coastal Union have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Coastal Union have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Coastal Union concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 4 away matches.