The model estimates 1.37 goals for TRA United and 0.64 for Kagera Sugar. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for TRA United and 6 for Kagera Sugar, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: TRA United · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
TRA United is going head to head with Kagera Sugar on May 12, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligi Kuu Bara — Round 29.
TRA United take on Kagera Sugar in the Ligi Kuu Bara on 12 May 2027 at 00:00.
TRA United are currently placed 13th in the table with 7 points, while Kagera Sugar occupy 16th position with 6 points.
TRA United come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Kagera Sugar have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, TRA United have 2 wins against Kagera Sugar, with 2 draws.
Prediction: TRA United to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.00. Over 2.5: 32%. BTTS: 37%.




TRA United have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of TRA United's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, TRA United have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Kagera Sugar have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Kagera Sugar's last 6 matches.
Kagera Sugar have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches.