The model estimates 2.24 goals for Jerez CF and 1.02 for UP Plasencia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jerez CF and 6 for UP Plasencia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jerez CF is going head to head with UP Plasencia on October 04, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 5.
Jerez CF take on UP Plasencia in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 4 October 2026 at 16:00.
Jerez CF are currently placed 12th in the table with 4 points, while UP Plasencia occupy 17th position with 1 points.
Jerez CF come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas UP Plasencia have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 27 recorded meetings, Jerez CF have 12 wins against UP Plasencia, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Jerez CF to win with probability 62%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.26. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 58%.




Jerez CF have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Jerez CF's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Jerez CF's last 6 matches.
UP Plasencia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
UP Plasencia have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
UP Plasencia concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.