The model estimates 0.99 goals for Inhulets and 1.35 for Fenix Mariupol. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Inhulets and 6 for Fenix Mariupol, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fenix Mariupol · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Inhulets is going head to head with Fenix Mariupol on May 15, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ukraine Persha Liga — Round 27.
Inhulets take on Fenix Mariupol in the Ukraine Persha Liga on 15 May 2027 at 00:00.
Inhulets are currently placed 9th in the table with 17 points, while Fenix Mariupol occupy 3rd position with 24 points.
Inhulets come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fenix Mariupol have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Fenix Mariupol have 2 wins against Inhulets, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Fenix Mariupol to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.34. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 48%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Inhulets's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Inhulets have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Inhulets have won 4 of their last 6 home matches.
Fenix Mariupol are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Fenix Mariupol have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Fenix Mariupol have won 4 of their last 6 matches.