The model estimates 1.57 goals for Inhulets and 0.98 for FC Chernihiv. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Inhulets and 6 for FC Chernihiv, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Inhulets · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Inhulets is going head to head with FC Chernihiv on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ukraine Persha Liga — Round 23.
Inhulets take on FC Chernihiv in the Ukraine Persha Liga on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
Inhulets are currently placed 9th in the table with 17 points, while FC Chernihiv occupy 16th position with 7 points.
Inhulets come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas FC Chernihiv have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Inhulets have 2 wins against FC Chernihiv, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Inhulets to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.55. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 51%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Inhulets's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Inhulets have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Inhulets have won 4 of their last 6 home matches.
FC Chernihiv have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
FC Chernihiv have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
FC Chernihiv concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.