The model estimates 0.89 goals for Ilkeston and 2.45 for Bury. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ilkeston and 6 for Bury, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bury · 62%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ilkeston is going head to head with Bury on December 12, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England Northern Premier — Round 23.
Ilkeston take on Bury in the England Northern Premier on 12 December 2026 at 15:00.
Ilkeston are currently placed 22nd in the table with 10 points, while Bury occupy 10th position with 22 points.
Ilkeston come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bury have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Bury have 1 win against Ilkeston.
Prediction: Bury to win with probability 62%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 3.34. Over 2.5: 65%. BTTS: 55%.
ILKBURILKBURILKBURILKBURILKBURILKBURILKBURILKBURILKBURIlkeston have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Ilkeston have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Ilkeston have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bury have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Bury's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Bury's last 6 matches.
