The model estimates 0.76 goals for Ilkeston and 1.59 for Alfreton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ilkeston and 6 for Alfreton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alfreton · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ilkeston is going head to head with Alfreton on December 26, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England Northern Premier — Round 25.
Ilkeston take on Alfreton in the England Northern Premier on 26 December 2026 at 15:00.
Ilkeston are currently placed 22nd in the table with 10 points, while Alfreton occupy 11th position with 20 points.
Ilkeston come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alfreton have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Alfreton to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.35. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 44%.
ILKALFILKALFILKALFILKALFILKALFILKALFILKALFILKALFILKALFIlkeston have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Ilkeston have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Ilkeston have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alfreton have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Alfreton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Alfreton's last 6 matches.
