The model estimates 1.91 goals for Avro and 1.65 for Alfreton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Avro and 6 for Alfreton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Avro · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Avro is going head to head with Alfreton on January 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England Northern Premier — Round 28.
Avro take on Alfreton in the England Northern Premier on 16 January 2027 at 00:00.
Avro are currently placed 5th in the table with 28 points, while Alfreton occupy 11th position with 20 points.
Avro come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alfreton have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Alfreton have 1 win against Avro.
Prediction: Avro to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.56. Over 2.5: 69%. BTTS: 70%.
AVRALFAVRALFAVRALFAVRALFAVRALFAVRALFAVRALFAVRALFAVRALFAvro score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Avro concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Avro have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Alfreton have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Alfreton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Alfreton's last 6 matches.
