The model estimates 1.26 goals for Ilicitano and 1.52 for Lorca Deportiva. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ilicitano and 6 for Lorca Deportiva, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lorca Deportiva · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ilicitano is going head to head with Lorca Deportiva on May 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Segunda B3 — Round 33.
Ilicitano take on Lorca Deportiva in the Spain Segunda B3 on 2 May 2027 at 00:00.
Ilicitano are currently placed 14th in the table with 7 points, while Lorca Deportiva occupy 10th position with 9 points.
Ilicitano come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lorca Deportiva have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Ilicitano have yet to beat Lorca Deportiva, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Lorca Deportiva to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.78. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 57%.


Ilicitano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Ilicitano have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Ilicitano concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lorca Deportiva have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Lorca Deportiva have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lorca Deportiva have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches.