The model estimates 1.39 goals for Hornchurch and 1.07 for Sutton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hornchurch and 6 for Sutton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hornchurch · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hornchurch is going head to head with Sutton on November 24, 2026 at 19:45. This match is part of England National League — Round 19.
Hornchurch take on Sutton in the England National League on 24 November 2026 at 19:45.
Hornchurch are currently placed 13th in the table with 21 points, while Sutton occupy 12th position with 21 points.
Hornchurch come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sutton have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 10 recorded meetings, Hornchurch have 4 wins against Sutton, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Hornchurch to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.46. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 51%.




Hornchurch have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hornchurch's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Hornchurch's last 6 matches.
Sutton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sutton's last 6 matches.
Sutton have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.