The model estimates 2.03 goals for Carlisle and 0.93 for Sutton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Carlisle and 6 for Sutton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Carlisle · 58%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Carlisle is going head to head with Sutton on November 28, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England National League — Round 20.
Carlisle take on Sutton in the England National League on 28 November 2026 at 15:00.
Carlisle are currently placed 11th in the table with 20 points, while Sutton occupy 15th position with 18 points.
Carlisle come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sutton have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Sutton have 3 wins against Carlisle, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Carlisle to win with probability 58%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.95. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 54%.




In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Carlisle score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Carlisle's last 6 home matches.
Sutton have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Sutton's last 6 matches.
Sutton have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.