The model estimates 1.02 goals for Hong Kong FC and 3.18 for Kitchee. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hong Kong FC and 6 for Kitchee, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Kitchee · 69%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hong Kong FC is going head to head with Kitchee on December 20, 2026 at 11:30. This match is part of Premier League — Round 16.
Hong Kong FC take on Kitchee in the Premier League on 20 December 2026 at 11:30.
Hong Kong FC are currently placed 7th in the table with 7 points, while Kitchee occupy 3rd position with 16 points.
Hong Kong FC come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Kitchee have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Kitchee have 1 win against Hong Kong FC.
Prediction: Kitchee to win with probability 69%. Most likely scoreline: 1-3. Avg goals: 4.19. Over 2.5: 79%. BTTS: 62%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Hong Kong FC's last 6 matches.
Hong Kong FC have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Hong Kong FC's last 6 matches.
Kitchee are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Kitchee have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Kitchee have won 5 of their last 6 matches.