The model estimates 2.82 goals for Mainz and 1.73 for Stuttgart. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mainz and 6 for Stuttgart, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mainz · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mainz is going head to head with Stuttgart on May 22, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 34.
Mainz take on Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on 22 May 2027 at 00:00.
Mainz are currently placed 7th in the table with 10 points, while Stuttgart occupy 15th position with 6 points.
Mainz come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Stuttgart have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 39 recorded meetings, Stuttgart have 17 wins against Mainz, with 10 draws.
Prediction: Mainz to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.56. Over 2.5: 83%. BTTS: 78%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Mainz score an average of 2.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Stuttgart have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Stuttgart have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Stuttgart score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.