The model estimates 1.95 goals for Hereford and 1.09 for Chorley. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hereford and 6 for Chorley, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hereford · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hereford is going head to head with Chorley on February 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 31.
Hereford take on Chorley in the England National League North on 6 February 2027 at 00:00.
Hereford are currently placed 2nd in the table with 26 points, while Chorley occupy 11th position with 20 points.
Hereford come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chorley have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 13 recorded meetings, Chorley have 6 wins against Hereford, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Hereford to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.04. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 58%.




Hereford have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Hereford score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Hereford have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Chorley have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Chorley's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Chorley's last 6 matches.