The model estimates 2.30 goals for Buxton and 1.48 for Chorley. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Buxton and 6 for Chorley, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Buxton · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Buxton is going head to head with Chorley on February 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 34.
Buxton take on Chorley in the England National League North on 20 February 2027 at 00:00.
Buxton are currently placed 6th in the table with 23 points, while Chorley occupy 11th position with 20 points.
Buxton come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chorley have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 13 recorded meetings, Buxton have 5 wins against Chorley, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Buxton to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.77. Over 2.5: 73%. BTTS: 70%.




Buxton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Buxton's last 6 matches.
Buxton concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chorley have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Chorley's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Chorley's last 6 matches.