The model estimates 1.93 goals for Heracles and 0.95 for Roda. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Heracles and 6 for Roda, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Heracles · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Heracles is going head to head with Roda on November 06, 2026 at 22:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 14.
Heracles take on Roda in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 6 November 2026 at 22:00.
Heracles are currently placed 1st in the table with 29 points, while Roda occupy 5th position with 22 points.
Heracles come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Roda have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Heracles to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.88. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 54%.




In their last 6 matches, Heracles have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Heracles have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Heracles score an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Roda have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Roda's last 6 matches.