The model estimates 0.83 goals for Hemel Hempstead and 1.64 for Ebbsfleet. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hemel Hempstead and 6 for Ebbsfleet, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ebbsfleet · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hemel Hempstead is going head to head with Ebbsfleet on February 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League South — Round 35.
Hemel Hempstead take on Ebbsfleet in the England National League South on 23 February 2027 at 00:00.
Hemel Hempstead are currently placed 18th in the table with 15 points, while Ebbsfleet occupy 1st position with 28 points.
Hemel Hempstead come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ebbsfleet have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 13 recorded meetings, Ebbsfleet have 4 wins against Hemel Hempstead, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Ebbsfleet to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.47. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 47%.




Hemel Hempstead have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Hemel Hempstead concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Hemel Hempstead's last 6 home matches.
Ebbsfleet are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ebbsfleet have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Ebbsfleet have won 5 of their last 6 matches.