The model estimates 0.82 goals for Hemel Hempstead and 1.25 for Salisbury. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hemel Hempstead and 6 for Salisbury, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Salisbury · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hemel Hempstead is going head to head with Salisbury on March 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League South — Round 37.
Hemel Hempstead take on Salisbury in the England National League South on 6 March 2027 at 00:00.
Hemel Hempstead are currently placed 18th in the table with 15 points, while Salisbury occupy 4th position with 25 points.
Hemel Hempstead come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Salisbury have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, Salisbury have 2 wins against Hemel Hempstead, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Salisbury to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.07. Over 2.5: 34%. BTTS: 42%.




Hemel Hempstead have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Hemel Hempstead concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Hemel Hempstead's last 6 home matches.
Salisbury are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Salisbury have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Salisbury's last 6 matches.