The model estimates 1.60 goals for Jong Utrecht and 2.05 for Waalwijk. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jong Utrecht and 6 for Waalwijk, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Waalwijk · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jong Utrecht is going head to head with Waalwijk on December 11, 2026 at 22:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 19.
Jong Utrecht take on Waalwijk in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 11 December 2026 at 22:00.
Jong Utrecht are currently placed 20th in the table with 7 points, while Waalwijk occupy 11th position with 16 points.
Jong Utrecht come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Waalwijk have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, Jong Utrecht have 3 wins against Waalwijk, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Waalwijk to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.65. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 71%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Jong Utrecht's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Jong Utrecht's last 6 matches.
Jong Utrecht have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Waalwijk have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Waalwijk have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Waalwijk's last 6 matches.