The model estimates 1.94 goals for Hednesford and 1.43 for Chorley. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hednesford and 6 for Chorley, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hednesford · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hednesford is going head to head with Chorley on December 28, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 24.
Hednesford take on Chorley in the England National League North on 28 December 2026 at 18:00.
Hednesford are currently placed 8th in the table with 21 points, while Chorley occupy 11th position with 20 points.
Hednesford come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chorley have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Hednesford have 3 wins against Chorley, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Hednesford to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.38. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 66%.




In their last 6 matches, Hednesford have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Hednesford have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Hednesford's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chorley have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Chorley's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Chorley's last 6 matches.