The model estimates 1.93 goals for Worthing and 1.54 for Carlisle. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Worthing and 6 for Carlisle, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Worthing · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Worthing is going head to head with Carlisle on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League — Round 30.
Worthing take on Carlisle in the England National League on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Worthing are currently placed 5th in the table with 28 points, while Carlisle occupy 9th position with 23 points.
Worthing come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Carlisle have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Worthing have 1 win against Carlisle.
Prediction: Worthing to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.47. Over 2.5: 67%. BTTS: 68%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Worthing's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Worthing have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Worthing's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Carlisle have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Carlisle's last 6 matches.