The model estimates 1.55 goals for Hamburger SV and 1.98 for Werder Bremen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hamburger SV and 6 for Werder Bremen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Werder Bremen · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hamburger SV is going head to head with Werder Bremen on March 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 27.
Hamburger SV take on Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on 20 March 2027 at 00:00.
Hamburger SV are currently placed 15th in the table with 9 points, while Werder Bremen occupy 5th position with 15 points.
Hamburger SV come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Werder Bremen have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 115 recorded meetings, Werder Bremen have 42 wins against Hamburger SV, with 36 draws.
Prediction: Werder Bremen to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.53. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 69%.
HAMWERHAMWERHAMWERHAMWERHAMWERHAMWERHAMWERHAMWERHAMWERThere have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hamburger SV's last 6 matches.
Hamburger SV concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Hamburger SV have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Werder Bremen are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Werder Bremen have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Werder Bremen's last 6 matches.
