The model estimates 1.42 goals for Guingamp and 1.60 for Metz. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Guingamp and 6 for Metz, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Metz · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Guingamp is going head to head with Metz on May 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 2 — Round 32.
Guingamp take on Metz in the Ligue 2 on 7 May 2027 at 00:00.
Guingamp are currently placed 11th in the table with 11 points, while Metz occupy 8th position with 14 points.
Guingamp come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Metz have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 32 recorded meetings, Metz have 18 wins against Guingamp, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Metz to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.02. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 62%.




Guingamp have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Guingamp's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Guingamp's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Metz's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Metz have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Metz have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.