The model estimates 1.37 goals for Metz and 1.45 for Red Star. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Metz and 6 for Red Star, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Red Star · 35%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Metz is going head to head with Red Star on May 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 2 — Round 33.
Metz take on Red Star in the Ligue 2 on 14 May 2027 at 00:00.
Metz are currently placed 8th in the table with 14 points, while Red Star occupy 6th position with 17 points.
Metz come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Red Star have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 39 recorded meetings, Metz have 19 wins against Red Star, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Red Star to win with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.82. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 59%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Metz's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Metz have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Metz have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Red Star have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Red Star have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Red Star's last 6 matches.