The model estimates 0.81 goals for Guadiana and 2.06 for Castuera. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Guadiana and 6 for Castuera, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Castuera · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Guadiana is going head to head with Castuera on November 29, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 13.
Guadiana take on Castuera in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 29 November 2026 at 20:00.
Guadiana are currently placed 18th in the table with 1 points, while Castuera occupy 5th position with 13 points.
Guadiana come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Castuera have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Castuera to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.87. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 50%.


Guadiana have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Guadiana have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Guadiana have lost by 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Castuera have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Castuera have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Castuera score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.