The model estimates 1.96 goals for Castuera and 0.79 for CD Zafra. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Castuera and 6 for CD Zafra, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Castuera · 59%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Castuera is going head to head with CD Zafra on December 20, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 16.
Castuera take on CD Zafra in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 20 December 2026 at 20:00.
Castuera are currently placed 5th in the table with 13 points, while CD Zafra occupy 13th position with 8 points.
Castuera come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas CD Zafra have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Castuera to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.75. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 48%.


In their last 6 matches, Castuera have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Castuera have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Castuera score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
CD Zafra have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of CD Zafra's last 6 matches.