The model estimates 1.31 goals for Gremio and 1.55 for Athletico-PR. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Gremio and 6 for Athletico-PR, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Athletico-PR · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Gremio is going head to head with Athletico-PR on October 30, 2026 at 00:30. Played at Arena do Grêmio Porto Alegre. This match is part of Serie A Betano — Round 33.
Gremio take on Athletico-PR in the Serie A Betano at Arena do Grêmio Porto Alegre on 30 October 2026 at 00:30.
Gremio are currently placed 16th in the table with 13 points, while Athletico-PR occupy 4th position with 24 points.
Gremio come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Athletico-PR have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 66 recorded meetings, Gremio have 32 wins against Athletico-PR, with 16 draws.
Prediction: Athletico-PR to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.86. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 59%.




Gremio have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Gremio have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Gremio's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Athletico-PR have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Athletico-PR's last 6 matches.
Athletico-PR have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.