The model estimates 1.44 goals for Gran Pena (Esp) and 1.16 for Somozas. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Gran Pena (Esp) and 6 for Somozas, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Gran Pena (Esp) · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Gran Pena (Esp) is going head to head with Somozas on December 06, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division G1 — Round 14.
Gran Pena (Esp) take on Somozas in the Spain Tercera Division G1 on 6 December 2026 at 20:00.
Gran Pena (Esp) are currently placed 17th in the table with 7 points, while Somozas occupy 15th position with 7 points.
Gran Pena (Esp) come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Somozas have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, Gran Pena (Esp) have 2 wins against Somozas, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Gran Pena (Esp) to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.60. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 54%.


Gran Pena (Esp) have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Gran Pena (Esp) have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Gran Pena (Esp)'s last 6 matches.
Somozas have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Somozas's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Somozas have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.