The model estimates 1.33 goals for Gran Pena (Esp) and 1.27 for CD Barco. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Gran Pena (Esp) and 6 for CD Barco, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Gran Pena (Esp) · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Gran Pena (Esp) is going head to head with CD Barco on December 20, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division G1 — Round 16.
Gran Pena (Esp) take on CD Barco in the Spain Tercera Division G1 on 20 December 2026 at 20:00.
Gran Pena (Esp) are currently placed 17th in the table with 7 points, while CD Barco occupy 7th position with 12 points.
Gran Pena (Esp) come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas CD Barco have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Gran Pena (Esp) to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.61. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 55%.




Gran Pena (Esp) have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Gran Pena (Esp) have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Gran Pena (Esp)'s last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, CD Barco have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of CD Barco's last 6 matches.
CD Barco have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.