The model estimates 1.51 goals for Jaen and 1.13 for Alcorcón. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jaen and 6 for Alcorcón, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Jaen · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jaen is going head to head with Alcorcón on January 31, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 22.
Jaen take on Alcorcón in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 31 January 2027 at 00:00.
Jaen are currently placed 5th in the table with 16 points, while Alcorcón occupy 10th position with 14 points.
Jaen come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alcorcón have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Jaen to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.63. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 54%.




In their last 6 matches, Jaen have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Jaen have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Jaen's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alcorcón have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Alcorcón's last 6 matches.
Alcorcón score an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.