The model estimates 1.61 goals for Gillingham and 1.59 for York City. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Gillingham and 6 for York City, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Gillingham · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Gillingham is going head to head with York City on April 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 43.
Gillingham take on York City in the League Two on 24 April 2027 at 00:00.
Gillingham are currently placed 11th in the table with 17 points, while York City occupy 5th position with 20 points.
Gillingham come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas York City have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, York City have 3 wins against Gillingham, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Gillingham to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.20. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 65%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Gillingham's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Gillingham have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Gillingham have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, York City have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
York City have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of York City's last 6 matches.