The model estimates 1.94 goals for Cheltenham and 1.44 for Crewe Alexandra. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Cheltenham and 6 for Crewe Alexandra, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Cheltenham · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Cheltenham is going head to head with Crewe Alexandra on December 12, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 19.
Cheltenham take on Crewe Alexandra in the League Two on 12 December 2026 at 15:00.
Cheltenham are currently placed 3rd in the table with 21 points, while Crewe Alexandra occupy 4th position with 21 points.
Cheltenham come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Crewe Alexandra have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 32 recorded meetings, Crewe Alexandra have 13 wins against Cheltenham, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Cheltenham to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.37. Over 2.5: 65%. BTTS: 66%.




Cheltenham have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Cheltenham have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Cheltenham concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Crewe Alexandra have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 matches.