The model estimates 1.15 goals for Fiorentina and 1.10 for Genoa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Fiorentina and 6 for Genoa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fiorentina · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Fiorentina is going head to head with Genoa on March 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 29.
Fiorentina take on Genoa in the Serie A on 21 March 2027 at 00:00.
Fiorentina are currently placed 19th in the table with 4 points, while Genoa occupy 13th position with 10 points.
Fiorentina come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Genoa have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 113 recorded meetings, Fiorentina have 50 wins against Genoa, with 42 draws.
Prediction: Fiorentina to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.26. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 47%.




Both teams have scored in 6 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.
Fiorentina have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Genoa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Genoa's last 6 matches.
Genoa have won only 1 of their last 6 away matches.