The model estimates 0.85 goals for Genk U23 and 1.55 for Dender. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Genk U23 and 6 for Dender, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Dender · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Genk U23 is going head to head with Dender on January 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Belgium Challenger Pro League — Round 16.
Genk U23 take on Dender in the Belgium Challenger Pro League on 16 January 2027 at 00:00.
Genk U23 are currently placed 11th in the table with 8 points, while Dender occupy 2nd position with 18 points.
Genk U23 come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Dender have 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Genk U23 have 3 wins against Dender.
Prediction: Dender to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.40. Over 2.5: 43%. BTTS: 47%.




In their last 6 matches, Genk U23 have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Genk U23 have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Genk U23's last 6 matches.
Dender are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Dender have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Dender have won 6 of their last 6 matches.