The model estimates 1.92 goals for Fleury-Merogis and 1.06 for Valenciennes. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Fleury-Merogis and 6 for Valenciennes, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fleury-Merogis · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Fleury-Merogis is going head to head with Valenciennes on February 27, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of France National — Round 22.
Fleury-Merogis take on Valenciennes in the France National on 27 February 2027 at 00:00.
Fleury-Merogis are currently placed 5th in the table with 18 points, while Valenciennes occupy 14th position with 9 points.
Fleury-Merogis come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Valenciennes have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Fleury-Merogis have 1 win against Valenciennes.
Prediction: Fleury-Merogis to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.98. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 57%.




Fleury-Merogis are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Fleury-Merogis have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Fleury-Merogis have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Valenciennes have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Valenciennes's last 6 matches.
Valenciennes concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.