The model estimates 1.47 goals for Thionville and 1.75 for Fleury-Merogis. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Thionville and 6 for Fleury-Merogis, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fleury-Merogis · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Thionville is going head to head with Fleury-Merogis on March 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of France National — Round 23.
Thionville take on Fleury-Merogis in the France National on 6 March 2027 at 00:00.
Thionville are currently placed 12th in the table with 12 points, while Fleury-Merogis occupy 5th position with 18 points.
Thionville come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fleury-Merogis have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Fleury-Merogis have 2 wins against Thionville, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Fleury-Merogis to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.21. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 65%.




Thionville have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Thionville have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Thionville's last 6 matches.
Fleury-Merogis are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Fleury-Merogis have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Fleury-Merogis have won 5 of their last 6 matches.