The model estimates 2.02 goals for Fenix Mariupol and 0.92 for UCSA. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Fenix Mariupol and 6 for UCSA, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fenix Mariupol · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Fenix Mariupol is going head to head with UCSA on May 08, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ukraine Persha Liga — Round 26.
Fenix Mariupol take on UCSA in the Ukraine Persha Liga on 8 May 2027 at 00:00.
Fenix Mariupol are currently placed 3rd in the table with 24 points, while UCSA occupy 12th position with 14 points.
Fenix Mariupol come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas UCSA have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, UCSA have 2 wins against Fenix Mariupol, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Fenix Mariupol to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.93. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 53%.




Fenix Mariupol are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Fenix Mariupol have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Fenix Mariupol have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
UCSA have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
UCSA concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 away matches.