The model estimates 1.56 goals for FC Chernihiv and 1.02 for Probiy Horodenka. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for FC Chernihiv and 6 for Probiy Horodenka, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: FC Chernihiv · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
FC Chernihiv is going head to head with Probiy Horodenka on November 28, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Ukraine Persha Liga — Round 18.
FC Chernihiv take on Probiy Horodenka in the Ukraine Persha Liga on 28 November 2026 at 20:00.
FC Chernihiv are currently placed 16th in the table with 7 points, while Probiy Horodenka occupy 14th position with 9 points.
FC Chernihiv come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Probiy Horodenka have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, FC Chernihiv have 1 win against Probiy Horodenka, with 1 draw.
Prediction: FC Chernihiv to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.58. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 52%.




FC Chernihiv have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
FC Chernihiv have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
FC Chernihiv concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Probiy Horodenka have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Probiy Horodenka's last 6 matches.
Probiy Horodenka have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.