The model estimates 1.21 goals for FC Chernihiv and 0.96 for Inhulets. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for FC Chernihiv and 6 for Inhulets, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
FC Chernihiv is going head to head with Inhulets on September 20, 2026 at 08:30. Played at Chernihiv Stadium Černihiv. This match is part of Ukraine Persha Liga — Round 8.
FC Chernihiv take on Inhulets in the Ukraine Persha Liga at Chernihiv Stadium Černihiv on 20 September 2026 at 08:30.
FC Chernihiv are currently placed 12th in the table with 7 points, while Inhulets occupy 6th position with 11 points.
FC Chernihiv come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Inhulets have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Inhulets have 2 wins against FC Chernihiv, with 1 draw.
Prediction: FC Chernihiv to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.17. Over 2.5: 37%. BTTS: 45%.




FC Chernihiv have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, FC Chernihiv have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of FC Chernihiv's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Inhulets have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Inhulets's last 6 matches.
Inhulets have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.