The model estimates 0.90 goals for FC Chernihiv and 1.53 for Fenix Mariupol. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for FC Chernihiv and 6 for Fenix Mariupol, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fenix Mariupol · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
FC Chernihiv is going head to head with Fenix Mariupol on October 31, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Ukraine Persha Liga — Round 14.
FC Chernihiv take on Fenix Mariupol in the Ukraine Persha Liga on 31 October 2026 at 20:00.
FC Chernihiv are currently placed 16th in the table with 7 points, while Fenix Mariupol occupy 3rd position with 24 points.
FC Chernihiv come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fenix Mariupol have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Fenix Mariupol have 3 wins against FC Chernihiv, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Fenix Mariupol to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.43. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 48%.




FC Chernihiv have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
FC Chernihiv have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
FC Chernihiv concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Fenix Mariupol are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Fenix Mariupol have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Fenix Mariupol have won 4 of their last 6 matches.