The model estimates 1.56 goals for Everton and 1.33 for Newcastle United. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Everton and 6 for Newcastle United, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Everton · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Everton is going head to head with Newcastle United on February 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 24.
Everton take on Newcastle United in the Premier League on 6 February 2027 at 00:00.
Everton are currently placed 11th in the table with 10 points, while Newcastle United occupy 8th position with 11 points.
Everton come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Newcastle United have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 178 recorded meetings, Everton have 72 wins against Newcastle United, with 38 draws.
Prediction: Everton to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.89. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 59%.




Everton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Everton's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Everton's last 6 matches.
Newcastle United have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Newcastle United have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Newcastle United's last 6 matches.