The model estimates 0.99 goals for Everton and 1.30 for Liverpool. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Everton and 6 for Liverpool, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Liverpool · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Everton is going head to head with Liverpool on November 29, 2026 at 12:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 12.
Everton take on Liverpool in the Premier League on 29 November 2026 at 12:00.
Everton are currently placed 11th in the table with 10 points, while Liverpool occupy 4th position with 15 points.
Everton come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Liverpool have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 208 recorded meetings, Liverpool have 86 wins against Everton, with 68 draws.
Prediction: Liverpool to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.29. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 47%.




Everton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Everton have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Everton concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Liverpool have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Liverpool's last 6 matches.
Liverpool have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.