The model estimates 1.50 goals for Arsenal and 1.35 for Brighton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arsenal and 6 for Brighton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arsenal · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arsenal is going head to head with Brighton on May 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 38.
Arsenal take on Brighton in the Premier League on 30 May 2027 at 00:00.
Arsenal are currently placed 2nd in the table with 21 points, while Brighton occupy 3rd position with 16 points.
Arsenal come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Brighton have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 31 recorded meetings, Arsenal have 16 wins against Brighton, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Arsenal to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.85. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 59%.




In their last 6 matches, Arsenal have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Arsenal have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Arsenal's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Brighton have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Brighton have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Brighton's last 6 matches.