The model estimates 1.97 goals for Estrela Amadora and 1.35 for Rio Ave. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Estrela Amadora and 6 for Rio Ave, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Estrela Amadora · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Estrela Amadora is going head to head with Rio Ave on February 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 23.
Estrela Amadora take on Rio Ave in the Primeira Liga on 21 February 2027 at 00:00.
Estrela Amadora are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while Rio Ave occupy 17th position with 7 points.
Estrela Amadora come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Rio Ave have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 27 recorded meetings, Rio Ave have 14 wins against Estrela Amadora, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Estrela Amadora to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.32. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 65%.




Estrela Amadora have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Estrela Amadora concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Estrela Amadora have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Rio Ave have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Rio Ave's last 6 matches.
Rio Ave have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.