The model estimates 1.68 goals for Ermis and 1.27 for Ayia Napa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ermis and 6 for Ayia Napa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ermis · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ermis is going head to head with Ayia Napa on November 20, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Cyprus Second Division — Round 8.
Ermis take on Ayia Napa in the Cyprus Second Division on 20 November 2026 at 20:00.
Ermis are currently placed 6th in the table with 9 points, while Ayia Napa occupy 13th position with 4 points.
Ermis come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ayia Napa have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Ermis to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.95. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 60%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Ermis's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ermis have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Ermis have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Ayia Napa's last 6 matches.
Ayia Napa have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Ayia Napa's last 6 matches.