The model estimates 1.13 goals for Pasaia and 2.24 for Leioa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Pasaia and 6 for Leioa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Leioa · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Pasaia is going head to head with Leioa on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 19.
Pasaia take on Leioa in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Pasaia are currently placed 13th in the table with 10 points, while Leioa occupy 1st position with 16 points.
Pasaia come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Leioa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 15 recorded meetings, Leioa have 9 wins against Pasaia, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Leioa to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.37. Over 2.5: 65%. BTTS: 62%.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Pasaia's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Pasaia's last 6 matches.
Pasaia have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Leioa are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Leioa have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Leioa's last 6 matches.