The model estimates 1.05 goals for Emley and 1.41 for Alfreton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Emley and 6 for Alfreton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alfreton · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Emley is going head to head with Alfreton on April 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England Northern Premier — Round 41.
Emley take on Alfreton in the England Northern Premier on 10 April 2027 at 00:00.
Emley are currently placed 14th in the table with 17 points, while Alfreton occupy 11th position with 20 points.
Emley come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alfreton have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Alfreton have 1 win against Emley.
Prediction: Alfreton to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.46. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 51%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Emley's last 6 matches.
Emley have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Emley's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alfreton have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Alfreton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Alfreton's last 6 matches.