The model estimates 1.50 goals for Celta Vigo and 0.85 for Rayo Vallecano. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Celta Vigo and 6 for Rayo Vallecano, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Celta Vigo · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Celta Vigo is going head to head with Rayo Vallecano on February 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 24.
Celta Vigo take on Rayo Vallecano in the LaLiga on 14 February 2027 at 00:00.
Celta Vigo are currently placed 9th in the table with 12 points, while Rayo Vallecano occupy 15th position with 9 points.
Celta Vigo come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Rayo Vallecano have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 51 recorded meetings, Rayo Vallecano have 21 wins against Celta Vigo, with 17 draws.
Prediction: Celta Vigo to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.35. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 46%.




In their last 6 matches, Celta Vigo have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Celta Vigo's last 6 matches.
Celta Vigo have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Rayo Vallecano's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Rayo Vallecano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Rayo Vallecano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.