The model estimates 1.43 goals for Leioa and 1.02 for Derio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Leioa and 6 for Derio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Leioa · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Leioa is going head to head with Derio on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 17.
Leioa take on Derio in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Leioa are currently placed 3rd in the table with 13 points, while Derio occupy 5th position with 12 points.
Leioa come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Derio have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, Leioa have 4 wins against Derio, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Leioa to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.45. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 50%.
DERDERDERDERDERDERDERDERDERLeioa are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Leioa have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Leioa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Derio have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Derio's last 6 matches.
Derio have won only 1 of their last 6 away matches.
